Unanticipated Exchange Rate Risk And U.S. Imports

Abstract

The effect of exchange rate risk on trade is one of the more controversial issues in international trade. This paper uses cointegration and error-correction approach to investigate the relationship between unanticipated exchange rate risk and U.S. imports over the period 1974:1-1992:4. The major finding of this study is that the exchange rate risk has a significant negative impact on U.S. imports.