Valuation Ratios As Stock Market Predictors

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Hassan Shirvani
Barry Wilbratte

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Abstract

Using bivariate causality tests, this paper examines price-earnings (PE) and dividend yield (DY) ratios and finds that they do not predict future stock returns but that they do predict future earnings and dividends, lending support to the efficient markets hypothesis.  (JEL: G12, G14)

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