Predicting Auditor Changes Using Financial Distress Variables And The Multiple Criteria Linear Programming (MCLP) And Other Data Mining Approaches

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Wikil Kwak
Susan Eldridge
Yong Shi
Gang Kou

Keywords

auditor change, data mining, multiple criteria linear programming

Abstract

Our study evaluates a multiple criteria linear programming (MCLP) and other data mining approaches to predict auditor changes using a portfolio of financial statement measures to capture financial distress. The results of the MCLP approach and the other data mining approaches show that these methods perform reasonably well to predict auditor changes using financial distress variables. Overall accuracy rates are more than 60 percent, and true positive rates exceed 80 percent. Our study is designed to establish a starting point for auditor-change prediction using financial distress variables. Further research should incorporate additional explanatory variables and a longer study period to improve prediction rates.

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