Modeling Annual Poverty In A Metropolitan Area

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Robert G. Mogull

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Abstract

This study establishes a methodology to create annual rates of poverty within a metropolitan region.  The site selected is Los Angeles/Long Beach, where trend lines are separately calculated for all residents, whites, blacks, Hispanics, female family heads, the elderly and children.  The most striking evidence is the surge in poverty among Hispanics and children, which pulls up the overall rate for the region.  The trends foretell the formation of an immense impoverished Hispanic underclass.

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